Here’s what’s happening in geopolitics today. Today’s edition opens with emergency alerts across Saudi Arabia and Poland eyeing fresh defence deals with the Philippines.
Elsewhere, Washington and Minsk return to the negotiating table over political prisoners, Cambodia and Thailand tackle a resource-rich maritime dispute, and Iran’s foreign minister heads to Beijing for talks.
And finally, the BRICS Summit concluded over the weekend, with the buffet generating more news than much of the discussions.
Saudi Arabia’s Civil Defence issued emergency alerts warning of a “potential danger” in several cities, including Jeddah and Taif in the Mecca region, as well as Abha, Jazan, AlUla and Yanbu. Residents were advised to remain calm, follow official instructions and move to the nearest safe location, although authorities did not publicly identify a specific incoming threat. The alerts were later lifted after officials declared the danger had passed, with no casualties or damage reported.
Poland is seeking additional defence contracts with the Philippines as Manila continues a major programme to modernise its armed forces. A Philippine defence delegation attended Poland’s MSPO arms exhibition, where officials explored further procurement and industrial cooperation under an existing government-to-government agreement that allows direct equipment purchases. The Philippines has already ordered 48 Polish-built S-70i Black Hawk helicopters, although no new contract was announced during the latest discussions.
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko met US presidential envoy John Coale in Minsk for a new round of talks focused on political-prisoner releases and easing American sanctions. Coale’s negotiations with Minsk have already secured the release of hundreds of detainees, although the Viasna human-rights group says more than 900 political prisoners remain behind bars. No new releases or sanctions relief were immediately announced following the meeting, which marked Coale’s first talks with Lukashenko in six months.
Cambodia and Thailand have begun a UN-backed compulsory conciliation process in Singapore aimed at resolving their long-running maritime boundary dispute in the Gulf of Thailand. Both countries claim approximately 26,000 square kilometres of sea believed to contain substantial oil and natural-gas reserves, after Thailand ended a 2001 bilateral agreement earlier this year. Cambodia is seeking either a single maritime boundary or a joint resource-development agreement, while Thailand maintains that the proceedings should focus solely on boundary delimitation; the commission’s recommendations will not be legally binding.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will make a one-day visit to Beijing on Wednesday for talks with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, China’s Foreign Ministry said. The meeting will be Araghchi’s second visit to the Chinese capital since the United States and Israel launched their war against Iran on 28 February, following earlier talks in May. Discussions are expected to cover bilateral relations and the conflict, with the visit taking place shortly before Chinese President Xi Jinping travels to the United States.
Geopolitics The BRICS summit concluded in New Delhi on September 13 with a joint declaration and a familiar strategic compromise: members agreed on expanding their international influence while avoiding positions that would expose their competing interests. Securing consensus was itself an achievement, particularly with Iran and the United Arab Emirates sharing the table amid regional conflict. So overall, nothing majorly new – which I did not expect.
The declaration called for restraint in the Middle East and diplomatic dispute resolution. Members also criticised unilateral trade restrictions. These positions provided common ground, but offered limited evidence that BRICS could translate collective concern into coordinated pressure or an enforceable settlement. And this is where the real underlying issue arises with BRICS – the difficulty of building a shared foreign policy among governments with different security relationships and economic dependencies.
On the positive side of the agenda was economic cooperation which produced more substantial results. Discussions covered greater use of local currencies, interoperability between central bank digital currencies, and stronger representation for emerging economies in international institutions. However, disagreement over payment infrastructure (including India’s resistance to China’s mBridge platform) showed that reducing reliance on Western systems does not automatically mean accepting Chinese alternatives.
Agriculture delivered more specific outcomes but of course did not get the limelight. Including cooperation on agricultural inputs and genetic resources, regenerative farming, digital agriculture, and farmers’ seed rights. These initiatives offer practical avenues for exchanging expertise and improving resilience, although their value will depend on implementation beyond summit announcements.
So again, I would reiterate that the summit suggests that BRICS remains most effective as a bargaining forum. Its members can advance selected economic projects and amplify demands for reform, but shared dissatisfaction with the existing order still exceeds agreement over its replacement.
Bonus Note: India’s hospitality also generated an unintended side debate: the vegetarian banquet became a political controversy – lacking staff, cleanliness and professionalism. It’s even alleged that Xi skipped dinner, reportedly returning to his hotel to rest; there is no verified evidence of a food-related walkout. For a summit selling global cooperation, having the menu compete with the communiqué was an unfortunate communications outcome. Apparently, agreeing on a multipolar world is easier than keeping everyone around the dinner table.
TODAY IN HISTORY (Sep 15, 1821): Central Americans granted independence
On this day in 1821, Central American notables accepted a plan drafted by the Mexican caudillo Agustín de Iturbide that brought independence from Spain to Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, and Nicaragua.

Yes, more evidence that the tank is still appreciated on the modern battlefield. Recent footage shows a pair of turtle tanks conducting a mission under the cover of drones.
Today’s Conflict Tracker turns to the Lyman and Sloviansk front as Russia launches frantic counterattacks after significant localised advances.
Renewed war in northern Ethiopia is reshaping regional alliances, threatening stability across the Horn of Africa and potentially complicating external support for Sudan’s RSF.