Here’s what’s happening in geopolitics today. Today’s headlines take us from Ankara to Tehran, with Turkey engaging Hamas leadership as regional mediators push for progress on Gaza, while the US launches another major wave of strikes against Iranian targets in a conflict showing few signs of cooling.
Elsewhere, Russia’s latest strikes on Ukraine leave civilians among the casualties, Pakistan faces another deadly militant attack, and Malaysia announces a rare refugee agreement with Myanmar over the return of Rohingya refugees.
After five months of conflict, Egypt has officially been brought in after a mysterious drone hit the port of Damietta. Today we assess what this means for the region.
Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan met in Ankara with Khalil al-Hayya, Hamas' newly elected political bureau chief, to discuss the latest developments in Gaza, the West Bank and ongoing ceasefire negotiations. During the meeting, Fidan congratulated al-Hayya on his appointment and reaffirmed Turkey's support for diplomatic efforts, humanitarian assistance to Gaza and initiatives aimed at achieving a lasting ceasefire. The talks come as regional mediators continue working to advance negotiations between Hamas and Israel amid the ongoing conflict in Gaza.
The United States launched a two-hour wave of airstrikes against dozens of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targets across Iran, with U.S. Central Command saying it struck missile and drone facilities, command centres, coastal surveillance sites and maritime defence infrastructure. The operation followed Iran's attempted ballistic missile attack on U.S. bases in the Middle East a day earlier, with President Donald Trump warning that further Iranian attacks would be met with an even stronger military response. The latest strikes mark a significant escalation in the conflict.
At least eight people, including two children, were killed in a wave of Russian missile and drone strikes across Ukraine, with attacks hitting Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, Lviv, Poltava and several other regions. Ukrainian officials said a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile struck a residential home in Kryvyi Rih, killing the two children, while Poland scrambled fighter jets after the strikes occurred close to its border. The barrage came as President Volodymyr Zelenskyy renewed calls for additional Western air defence systems, warning that Russia continues to intensify long-range attacks on civilian infrastructure.
At least 10 police officers were killed after Islamist militants launched a coordinated overnight attack on a police post in Pakistan's northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, using drones, rocket-propelled grenades and automatic weapons. Police said security forces repelled the assault after several hours of fighting, killing multiple attackers, while no group immediately claimed responsibility, although suspicion has fallen on the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). The attack is the latest in a surge of militant violence along Pakistan's border with Afghanistan, where authorities have reported an increase in attacks targeting security forces.
Malaysia says Myanmar has agreed to repatriate an initial 5,000 Rohingya refugees, marking a rare breakthrough after bilateral negotiations between the two countries. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said the agreement is the first step in a broader effort that could also see Myanmar accept up to 300,000 Rohingya refugees from Bangladesh, although no timeline for the returns has been announced. The proposal comes amid heightened scrutiny of Malaysia's refugee policies and concerns from human rights groups, who argue that conditions in Myanmar remain unsafe for the Rohingya minority.
For the first time in five months of fighting, the war with Iran has reached Egyptian soil. On Wednesday a drone struck the Mediterranean port of Damietta and set two gas tankers on fire. The larger one, the Energos Winter, is an American-owned vessel that stores and ships liquefied gas; the flames then spread to a second tanker, the GasLog Salem. Firefighters brought the fire under control, and every crew member walked away unharmed.
No one has yet claimed responsibility for the strike. The government confirms that a drone caused the July 29 fire at Damietta port, which struck two vessels, among them the American-owned Energos Winter, a floating gas-storage ship. No group has claimed the attack, and officials are still investigating. That caution will not last, because the target speaks plainly enough on its own.

GasLog Salem
As we’ve already seen, drones and missiles have already hit oil and gas sites from the Gulf to Saudi Arabia, yet Egypt had escaped until now. Of all the places a drone could have found, it found a piece of energy equipment flying an American flag, in one of the country's main gas-export ports. If this was an Iranian drone, it was without a doubt a deliberate message about power over the world's fuel supply. Just take a quick glance as to where exactly this port is – it neighbours the Suez canal entrance. According to sources at the NYT, Iranian sources said the strike were meant to show Tehran's power to disrupt global shipping and energy if the fighting continues to spread.
Others have called into question the authenticity of this strike. The perfect target, no previous interceptions – and it does smell a bit fishy. But what is the intention here? Drag the conflict out? Make oil and gas prices soar more? All possible, but we have to consider who benefits from this and this is a complicated one.
Here lies the danger for markets far from Egypt. Ships, ports, and pipelines are the weak points of the global economy, and a single drone can push oil prices higher in every market at once. Whoever launched this one wanted the world to notice how little effort it took, and how far the reach now extends. Like I said, if this was Iran – it is showcasing to the world that it can control three of the world's largest trade routes with a push of a button.

“Following the containment of the fire that affected two ships at Damietta Port on July 29, 2026, and after the relevant authorities conducted their preliminary investigations, it was determined that the incident was caused by a drone. No party has yet been identified as responsible. The competent authorities are continuing their investigations to determine the circumstances of the incident and to take the necessary measures to safeguard Egypt’s interests and national security.”

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